Space Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Climate & Science

Climate & Science

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch? card icon

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$5M

79%

$15M

53%

$5M

79%

$15M

53%

$297k Vol.

NASA Artemis II card icon

NASA Artemis II

February 7

32%

February 28

70%

February 7

32%

February 28

70%

$12k Vol.

How many SpaceX launches in January? card icon

How many SpaceX launches in January?

10

<1%

11

2%

10

<1%

11

2%

$97k Vol.

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? card icon

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

chance

$48k Vol.

5kt meteor strike in 2026? card icon

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

50%

chance

$137k Vol.

Daily
Natural Disaster in 2026? card icon

Natural Disaster in 2026?

46%

chance

$89k Vol.

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? card icon

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

25%

chance

$71k Vol.

Daily
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<5

16%

5-6

30%

<5

16%

5-6

30%

$76k Vol.

Daily
SpaceX IPO by ___ ? card icon

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

March 31

7%

June 30

25%

March 31

7%

June 30

25%

NEW

How many SpaceX launches in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

<100

3%

100-119

9%

<100

3%

100-119

9%

NEW