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Venezuela polymarkets
Venezuela
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?
$36m Vol.
$681k today
$194k Liq.
3,766
Ends in 4 months
55%
March 31, 2026
Maduro out by...?
$23m Vol.
$464k today
$447k Liq.
1,605
Ends in about 1 year
December 31, 2026
Next US x Venezuela military engagement on...?
$2m Vol.
$155k today
$168k Liq.
42
Ends in 20 days
79%
No Engagement in 2025
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$89.2k Liq.
51
14%
US forces in Venezuela by...?
$20.1k Liq.
44
7%
December 31
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
$16.3k Vol.
$21.4k Liq.
8
26%
Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?
$104k Vol.
$12.7k Liq.
1
2%
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement by Dec 31 on Friday?
$7.6k Vol.
$4.3k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
65%
>20%
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 15?
$20.8k Vol.
$5.1k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
Odds of Maduro out by March 31 on Friday?
$5.8k Vol.
$6.1k Liq.
95%
>30%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
$225k Vol.
$12.0k Liq.
18
93%
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?
$25.5k Vol.
$2.7k Liq.
21%
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?
$14.6k Vol.
$4.9k Liq.
9%
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by December 31?
$73.0k Vol.
40
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?
$58.3k Vol.
$5.2k Liq.
20
15%
Will Trump release the sanctioned oil tanker by December 31?
$762 Vol.
$737 Liq.
6%
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?
$49.7k Vol.
$5.9k Liq.
32%
Venezuela Parlay
$14.4k Vol.
$7.9k Liq.
6
Maduro receives asylum by December 31?
$10.0k Vol.
$6.7k Liq.
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?
$1.9k Vol.
$3.7k Liq.
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