Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$49,933,390 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 40%

Christopher Waller 4.5%

Scott Bessent 1.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$49,933,390
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$49,933,390 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 40%

Christopher Waller 4.5%

Scott Bessent 1.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$2,868,038 Vol.

52%

Kevin Warsh

$1,068,771 Vol.

40%

Christopher Waller

$1,171,894 Vol.

5%

Scott Bessent

$998,713 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$868,195 Vol.

1%

Rick Rieder

$840,181 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$808,708 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,136,181 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$867,863 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,107,669 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$550,719 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$6,546,045 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$650,806 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$521,005 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,394,635 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,038,723 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$583,579 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,075,548 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,316,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$269,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,428,943 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$7,661,777 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$746,283 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$114,161 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$8,295,403 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$49,933,390
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.