Who makes TIME’s 2025 Person of the Year Shortlist?

Name: Who makes TIME’s 2025 Person of the Year Shortlist?
Start: 2025-12-05T23:47:55.90046Z
End: 2025-12-31T00:00:00Z

$681,426 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Pope Leo XIV
$180,109 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

Bad Bunny
$8,759 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Donald Trump
$141,280 Vol.
4%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Jensen Huang
$47,092 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

Sam Altman
$13,129 Vol.
7%
0123456789
%

AI
$84,372 Vol.
9%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Zohran Mamdani
$25,797 Vol.
6%
0123456789
%

Benjamin Netanyahu
$23,005 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Jerome Powell
$4,163 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Elon Musk
$8,564 Vol.
6%
0123456789
%

Kendrick Lamar
$263 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$2,686 Vol.
5%
0123456789
%

Xi Jinping
$7,039 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

JD Vance
$2,040 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Vladimir Putin
$4,095 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

María Corina Machado
$7,348 Vol.
8%
0123456789
%

Ursula von der Leyen
$1,051 Vol.
5%
0123456789
%

Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo
$1,805 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Charlie Kirk
$27,563 Vol.
6%
0123456789
%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$1,668 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Javier Milei
$272 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Demis Hassabis
$306 Vol.
1%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Geoffrey Hinton
$3,652 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Dario Amodei
$13,152 Vol.
7%
0123456789
%

Sanae Takaichi
$3,262 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

ChatGPT
$13,080 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Christine Lagarde
$698 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Maggie Kang
$12,738 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Sundar Pichai
$616 Vol.
10%
0123456789
%

Mustafa Suleyman
$12,142 Vol.
5%
0123456789
%

Shohei Ohtani
$13,956 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Giorgia Meloni
$3,182 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

Ariana Grande
$12,680 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed.

If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”.

The resolution source is official information from Time.

Created At: Dec 5, 2025, 11:09 PM UTC

Volume

$681,426

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Created At

Dec 5, 2025, 11:09 PM UTC

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Beware of external links.

$681,426 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025

Who makes TIME’s 2025 Person of the Year Shortlist?

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Pope Leo XIV

$180,109 Vol.

Bad Bunny

$8,759 Vol.

Donald Trump

$141,280 Vol.

Jensen Huang

$47,092 Vol.

Sam Altman

$13,129 Vol.

$84,372 Vol.

Zohran Mamdani

$25,797 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$23,005 Vol.

Jerome Powell

$4,163 Vol.

Elon Musk

$8,564 Vol.

Kendrick Lamar

$263 Vol.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$2,686 Vol.

Xi Jinping

$7,039 Vol.

JD Vance

$2,040 Vol.

<1%

Vladimir Putin

$4,095 Vol.

María Corina Machado

$7,348 Vol.

Ursula von der Leyen

$1,051 Vol.

Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo

$1,805 Vol.

Charlie Kirk

$27,563 Vol.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$1,668 Vol.

Javier Milei

$272 Vol.

Demis Hassabis

$306 Vol.

Geoffrey Hinton

$3,652 Vol.

Dario Amodei

$13,152 Vol.

Sanae Takaichi

$3,262 Vol.

ChatGPT

$13,080 Vol.

Christine Lagarde

$698 Vol.

<1%

Maggie Kang

$12,738 Vol.

Sundar Pichai

$616 Vol.

10%

Mustafa Suleyman

$12,142 Vol.

Shohei Ohtani

$13,956 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni

$3,182 Vol.

Ariana Grande

$12,680 Vol.

About

Volume

$681,426

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Created At

Dec 5, 2025, 11:09 PM UTC

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?

97%

Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 11?

99%

Beware of external links.

Who makes TIME’s 2025 Person of the Year Shortlist?

Pope Leo XIV$180,109 Vol.4%0123456789%buy Yes4.2¢buy No96.0¢

Bad Bunny$8,759 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes3.1¢buy No99.5¢

Donald Trump$141,280 Vol.4%01234567890123456789%buy Yes4.2¢buy No96.1¢

Jensen Huang$47,092 Vol.4%0123456789%buy Yes4.3¢buy No95.8¢

Sam Altman$13,129 Vol.7%0123456789%buy Yes8.0¢buy No95.0¢

AI$84,372 Vol.9%01234567890123456789%buy Yes12.9¢buy No94.7¢

Zohran Mamdani$25,797 Vol.6%0123456789%buy Yes7.5¢buy No94.9¢

Benjamin Netanyahu$23,005 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes2.4¢buy No97.8¢

Jerome Powell$4,163 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes5.6¢buy No98.8¢

Elon Musk$8,564 Vol.6%0123456789%buy Yes9.6¢buy No97.9¢

Kendrick Lamar$263 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes2.4¢buy No99.1¢

Volodymyr Zelenskyy$2,686 Vol.5%0123456789%buy Yes7.7¢buy No98.1¢

Xi Jinping$7,039 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes2.0¢buy No98.3¢

JD Vance$2,040 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.6¢buy No99.8¢

Vladimir Putin$4,095 Vol.4%0123456789%buy Yes7.6¢buy No98.9¢

María Corina Machado$7,348 Vol.8%0123456789%buy Yes9.8¢buy No94.4¢

Ursula von der Leyen$1,051 Vol.5%0123456789%buy Yes9.0¢buy No99.1¢

Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo$1,805 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes3.0¢buy No97.1¢

Charlie Kirk$27,563 Vol.6%0123456789%buy Yes6.5¢buy No94.9¢

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$1,668 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes4.1¢buy No99.0¢

Javier Milei$272 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes4.5¢buy No99.3¢

Demis Hassabis$306 Vol.1%01234567890123456789%buy Yes1.6¢buy No99.2¢

Geoffrey Hinton$3,652 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes1.8¢buy No98.8¢

Dario Amodei$13,152 Vol.7%0123456789%buy Yes11.9¢buy No97.5¢

Sanae Takaichi$3,262 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes1.6¢buy No98.9¢

ChatGPT$13,080 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.7¢buy No99.4¢

Christine Lagarde$698 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.4¢buy No99.7¢

Maggie Kang$12,738 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes4.1¢buy No99.0¢

Sundar Pichai$616 Vol.10%0123456789%buy Yes18.1¢buy No98.0¢

Mustafa Suleyman$12,142 Vol.5%0123456789%buy Yes9.8¢buy No98.9¢

Shohei Ohtani$13,956 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes4.9¢buy No99.2¢

Giorgia Meloni$3,182 Vol.4%0123456789%buy Yes6.5¢buy No98.6¢

Ariana Grande$12,680 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.8¢buy No99.4¢

Market Context