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What day will the Brown Shooter be arrested?

$39,064 Vol.

No Arrest in 2025 31%

December 18 22%

December 21 17.5%

December 20 16.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next listed date (ET) on which any individual is arrested in direct connection with the December 13th Brown University mass shooting.

Only arrests of individuals for alleged participation in the planning or execution of the shooting itself will qualify. Arrests made solely for related or subsequent conduct will not qualify.

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant is being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

If no qualifying arrest occurs by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Arrest in 2025”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$39,064
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 17, 2025, 4:47 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$39,064 Vol.

Market icon

What day will the Brown Shooter be arrested?

No Arrest in 2025 31%

December 18 22%

December 21 17.5%

December 20 16.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

December 18

$5,387 Vol.

22%

December 19

$3,183 Vol.

16%

December 20

$2,917 Vol.

16%

December 21

$1,961 Vol.

18%

December 22

$1,070 Vol.

4%

December 23

$1,196 Vol.

3%

December 24

$1,256 Vol.

5%

December 25

$1,079 Vol.

6%

December 26

$1,171 Vol.

2%

December 27

$965 Vol.

3%

December 28

$1,399 Vol.

2%

December 29

$1,100 Vol.

2%

December 30

$1,729 Vol.

3%

December 31

$722 Vol.

2%

No Arrest in 2025

$9,328 Vol.

31%

About

Volume
$39,064
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 17, 2025, 4:47 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.