Name: #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?
Start: 2025-12-12T21:36:18.201475Z
End: 2025-12-19T00:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

This market will resolve according to the Android app, ranked #1 in the United States on the Android Play Store's overall Top Charts under "Top free", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the Play Store app, select "Top charts" and click "Top free". Then, under "Top Charts" in the "Top free" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://play.google.com/store/apps).

TikTok

Instagram

QR Code & Barcode Scanner

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

WhatsApp Messenger

ChatGPT

Easy Homescreen

PDF Reader-PDF Manage

Microsoft Teams

TikTok Lite - Faster TikTok

Shop: All your favorite brands

Perplexity - Ask Anything

#1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?

This market will resolve according to the Android app, ranked #1 in the United States on the Android Play Store's overall Top Charts under "Top grossing", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the Play Store app, select "Top charts" and click "Top grossing". Then, under "Top Charts" in the "Top grossing" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://play.google.com/store/apps).

Will Google One be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19?

The app Wizz has been described as 'Tinder for kids' due to its dating app-style left- and right-swipe features to match and meet with strangers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wizz iOS app is no longer available for download on the United States Apple App Store at any point between December 10, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the app is inaccessible due to technical issues with the App Store itself, this will not count as a removal.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Apple and the Apple App Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


'Tinder for kids' removed from App Store?

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it by 6PM to reflect streaming data for the previous day, beginning at 12AM UTC and ending 11:59PM the preceding day.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mariah Carey's 'All I Want For Christmas Is You' is the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the day labeled December 25.

If Spotify does not release its top song for December 25 by December 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The daily top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. 

Will Spotify's top song on December 25 be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?

This market will resolve according to the listed songs within the Billboard Hot 100’s Top 10 for the week titled “week of January 3, 2026”.

Only the listed songs within spots numbered 1 through 10 (inclusive) will qualify towards the resolution of this market.

The resolution source will be Billboard.com.

Will Underneath the Tree - Kelly Clarkson be in the Billboard Top 10 for the week of January 3, 2026?

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, December 23, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by December 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if BasedApp's daily builder revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Flowscan, specifically the "Daily Revenue by Builder" bar chart set on "30D" available at https://www.flowscan.xyz/builders?builder=all

This market will resolve once any daily total revenue for BasedApp is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the bar for "31 Dec 2025" is finalized and no bar within the timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.

The value displayed when hovering over the bar for "Dec 31, 2025" will be considered finalized once any bar for January 1 is published.

Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $1M in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake’s next officially released album debuts at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 albums chart for its first charted week following release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve as soon as Billboard publishes the first chart week in which the album appears.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).

Will Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If a listed modeI ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.


Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Atlas global browser market share is at least the listed percentage on December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The relevant data will be sourced from StatCounter Global Stats, utilizing the following settings: Statistic: Browser; Checked: Desktop, Mobile, Tablet, Console; Region: Worldwide; Period: Daily (https://gs.statcounter.com/browser-market-share#daily-20251014-20251020).

Only the first released data will be considered; later revisions will not be used. 

If "Atlas" is not explicitly listed under these settings when data for this date is first released, this market will resolve to "No".

If the data is not reported by January 15, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. ET, or if the primary resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, an alternative resolution source will be selected.

Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on December 31?

This market will resolve according to the Metascore listed on Metacritic for "Call of Duty: Black Ops 7" (https://www.metacritic.com/game/call-of-duty-black-ops-7/) as of seven days after the release, at 11:59 PM ET.

For games released on multiple platforms, Metacritic displays a default Metascore, that being the Metascore for the game on the platform for which it has the most critical reviews. For the purposes of this market, the Metascore refers to that of the default platform as of seven days after the release at 10 AM ET.

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

If this game is not released by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket.


Will "Call of Duty: Black Ops 7" have a Metascore less than 75?

This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. 

If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

#1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?

ChatGPT
$3,080 Vol.
82%
0123456789
%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
$1,525 Vol.
14%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Perplexity - Ask Anything
$942 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

TikTok
$1,166 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Instagram
$727 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

WhatsApp Messenger
$980 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Easy Homescreen
$804 Vol.
<1%

TikTok Lite - Faster TikTok
$913 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

QR Code & Barcode Scanner
$773 Vol.
<1%

PDF Reader-PDF Manage
$954 Vol.
<1%

Microsoft Teams
$735 Vol.
<1%

Shop: All your favorite brands
$896 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Market Context

#1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?

Rules

#1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?

Market Context

#1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?

About

Related

#1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?

ChatGPT$3,080 Vol.82%0123456789%buy Yes85¢buy No22¢

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire$1,525 Vol.14%01234567890123456789%buy Yes17.2¢buy No89.9¢

Perplexity - Ask Anything$942 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes4.3¢buy No99.9¢

TikTok$1,166 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.9¢buy No99.5¢

Instagram$727 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.9¢buy No99.9¢

WhatsApp Messenger$980 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.7¢buy No99.9¢

Easy Homescreen$804 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.7¢buy No99.9¢

TikTok Lite - Faster TikTok$913 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.7¢buy No99.9¢

QR Code & Barcode Scanner$773 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.9¢

PDF Reader-PDF Manage$954 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.9¢

Microsoft Teams$735 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.9¢

Shop: All your favorite brands$896 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.4¢buy No99.9¢

Market Context

#1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?

Rules

#1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?

Market Context

#1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?

About

Related

ChatGPT
$3,080 Vol.
82%
0123456789
%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
$1,525 Vol.
14%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Perplexity - Ask Anything
$942 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

TikTok
$1,166 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Instagram
$727 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

WhatsApp Messenger
$980 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Easy Homescreen
$804 Vol.
<1%

TikTok Lite - Faster TikTok
$913 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

QR Code & Barcode Scanner
$773 Vol.
<1%

PDF Reader-PDF Manage
$954 Vol.
<1%

Microsoft Teams
$735 Vol.
<1%

Shop: All your favorite brands
$896 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%